WP5 – Model-based biomass supply analysis for bioeconomy

Objectives
With the aim to improve policy and decision support related to bioeconomy the objective of this WP is:
• to improve 1) the coherence of policy support for energy, industrial, environmental and other forest- related policies at EU and national level as well as 2) decision support for bioeconomy industry at regional and local level by harmonizing the definition of sustainable biomass supply across European countries, across sectors, along value-chains and over time
• to deepen insight of long-term sustainability of biomass supply by developing harmonized methodology for model-based biomass supply analyses, taking into account dynamics of forests and variation of forest-based value-chains across Europe
• to increase the understanding of trade-offs between biomass supply and other ecosystem products and services by developing harmonized methodology to incorporate land-use constraints into model-based biomass supply analyses
• to support forest-related policy processes and decisions related to bioeconomy industry in practice by productizing value-added information services based on the model-based biomass supply analyses.

Description of work
T5.1 Harmonization of definitions for sustainable biomass supply in terms of sustainability constraints in relation to experiences and guidelines from international processes and projects e.g. Forest Europe, UNECE SFM, EU projects BEE and S2BIOM, as well as form the European Bioeconomy Observatory (BISO). (SLU task leader with Luke as partner; Months 1-12)

T5.2 Provide scenarios on future land-use pressure and shifts for countries under different sustainability constraints through the use of a global land use and market equilibriums model (GLOBIOM). The work will rely on knowledge gained from projects such as EUCLIMIT in which IIASA is a leading partner and where the GLOBIOM model is being applied to provide EU Member States with information concerning market and land use implications of bioenergy policies (IIASA; Months 25-30).

T5.3 Development of harmonized methodology for modelling biomass supply dynamics over time and across countries with varying forest-based value chains and land-use constraints relying on the knowledge gained from the COST Actions E43, USEWOOD, FORSYS and ORCHESTRA as well as work carried out towards European Forestry Dynamics Model (EFDM) within the context of the Framework Contract of ENFIN with the European Commission for the Provision of forest data and services in support to the European Forest Data Centre as well as EU Project INTEGRAL (Luke task leader with SLU as partner; Months 7-30)

T5.4 Adopting the harmonized definition for sustainable biomass supply (from Task 5.1), results on future land-use pressure (from T5.2) and methodology (from T5.3) for supply analysis carried out by countries (23 in total) to derive added-value results to be disseminated through a SEIS compliant web-service pilot built on a collaborative platform selected by participating countries, to be communicated in WP6 to end-users in international and national administration/policy processes (e.g. national ministries, EC DGs, BISO, UNECE Outlook TOS) and bioeconomy industry (Luke task leader, SLU and 21 other countries as partners; Months
31-40)